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Sunday, February 24, 2019

Future forecast

Just saw a forecast from a reliable source - not NOAA or Accuweather  - mind you.  It appears that our much ballyhooed early Spring prediction from Punxsutawney Phil is inaccurate to a degree.  There are models out there that suggest a major cold snap will be hitting the northeast mid-March.  There isn't any data suggesting a snowstorm with the cold but that is still to be refined.  Given that this time period is at the edge of the envelope as far as forecasting, there isn't any data beyond this period at this time.  But, having a cold snap with our current wet trends portends difficulties for the  commercial growers in this area. 
I did go out to my garden yesterday before the rains set in.  The ground seems much wetter but not frozen.  My shoes did seem to sink in pretty easily which means - if this pattern of rains continue - there will need to be a period of much drier weather before the soils will warm up and dry out enough to plant.  Having to track this is a first for me.  It gives me a small sense of what a farmer with tens to hundreds of acres might be going through.
I have also been tracking the temps in my portable greenhouse for about a week.  It is still getting below freezing for a majority of the days but the lows are climbing.  I will keep tracking at this point to see what happens.
The weather has been quite unusual recently and it appears there is more to come.  The whole Northeastern US is under strong wind watches.  In the area around Buffalo NY, there are supposed to be winds reaching 75 mph.  They don't have a lot of snow cover presently so they won't have that to deal with visibility-wise.  The odd thing is that the wind issues are reaching from Michigan to the east coast of the US.  The is a huge area given the depth and breadth of this system.  It just doesn't happen too much.   
Well, that's all there is to report on today.  Just in a holding pattern when and until the weather is a little more hospitable to gardening.  Until the next time - Happy Gardening everyone!

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